Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker
Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.
First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.
Live Results
As of 3:10 PM, 302 voters in 34 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 204,092 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 173,887 - 229,882). In addition, more than 346,196 mail-in ballots have already been returned*, and 89,200 are still outstanding.
NOTE: The above mail counts are copied from the state data. There is a lag in the returned mail-ins showing up in that data. Some mail-ins that have already arrived are probably not included. In addition, all ballots postmarked today that arrive by 11/6 will be counted, as long as the Supreme Court does not interfere.
Maps
I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.
Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)
Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In) vs 2016
In-Person Turnout
Mail-In Requests
Mail-In Ballots Returned
Raw Responses (for debugging)
Submissions
Data Tables
For those of you who like tables with numbers. 
| ward | time_of_day | turnout | turnout_p025 | turnout_p975 |
| 01 | 3:10 PM | 3022 |
c(2.5% = 2723)
|
c(97.5% = 3276)
|
| 02 | 3:10 PM | 4712 |
c(2.5% = 4239)
|
c(97.5% = 5109)
|
| 03 | 3:10 PM | 2667 |
c(2.5% = 2227)
|
c(97.5% = 3096)
|
| 04 | 3:10 PM | 2632 |
c(2.5% = 2154)
|
c(97.5% = 3075)
|
| 05 | 3:10 PM | 6901 |
c(2.5% = 6197)
|
c(97.5% = 7646)
|
| 06 | 3:10 PM | 1801 |
c(2.5% = 1500)
|
c(97.5% = 2057)
|
| 07 | 3:10 PM | 1627 |
c(2.5% = 1000)
|
c(97.5% = 2048)
|
| 08 | 3:10 PM | 6381 |
c(2.5% = 5708)
|
c(97.5% = 7038)
|
| 09 | 3:10 PM | 3037 |
c(2.5% = 2674)
|
c(97.5% = 3607)
|
| 10 | 3:10 PM | 3898 |
c(2.5% = 3144)
|
c(97.5% = 4553)
|
| 11 | 3:10 PM | 1675 |
c(2.5% = 1359)
|
c(97.5% = 2007)
|
| 12 | 3:10 PM | 2911 |
c(2.5% = 2388)
|
c(97.5% = 3346)
|
| 13 | 3:10 PM | 2615 |
c(2.5% = 2138)
|
c(97.5% = 3055)
|
| 14 | 3:10 PM | 1159 |
c(2.5% = 986)
|
c(97.5% = 1312)
|
| 15 | 3:10 PM | 3323 |
c(2.5% = 3023)
|
c(97.5% = 3604)
|
| 16 | 3:10 PM | 1387 |
c(2.5% = 1080)
|
c(97.5% = 1676)
|
| 17 | 3:10 PM | 3225 |
c(2.5% = 2658)
|
c(97.5% = 3759)
|
| 18 | 3:10 PM | 2966 |
c(2.5% = 2603)
|
c(97.5% = 3319)
|
| 19 | 3:10 PM | 1318 |
c(2.5% = 913)
|
c(97.5% = 1620)
|
| 20 | 3:10 PM | 1260 |
c(2.5% = 909)
|
c(97.5% = 1475)
|
| 21 | 3:10 PM | 7427 |
c(2.5% = 6397)
|
c(97.5% = 8252)
|
| 22 | 3:10 PM | 4201 |
c(2.5% = 3481)
|
c(97.5% = 4893)
|
| 23 | 3:10 PM | 2366 |
c(2.5% = 1895)
|
c(97.5% = 2699)
|
| 24 | 3:10 PM | 2019 |
c(2.5% = 1586)
|
c(97.5% = 2323)
|
| 25 | 3:10 PM | 1902 |
c(2.5% = 1362)
|
c(97.5% = 2249)
|
| 26 | 3:10 PM | 2858 |
c(2.5% = 2395)
|
c(97.5% = 3122)
|
| 27 | 3:10 PM | 3368 |
c(2.5% = 2386)
|
c(97.5% = 4946)
|
| 28 | 3:10 PM | 1482 |
c(2.5% = 1149)
|
c(97.5% = 1802)
|
| 29 | 3:10 PM | 1510 |
c(2.5% = 1294)
|
c(97.5% = 1710)
|
| 30 | 3:10 PM | 2968 |
c(2.5% = 2652)
|
c(97.5% = 3314)
|
| 31 | 3:10 PM | 2546 |
c(2.5% = 2116)
|
c(97.5% = 2858)
|
| 32 | 3:10 PM | 2449 |
c(2.5% = 1967)
|
c(97.5% = 2848)
|
| 33 | 3:10 PM | 1923 |
c(2.5% = 1228)
|
c(97.5% = 2384)
|
| 34 | 3:10 PM | 5526 |
c(2.5% = 4659)
|
c(97.5% = 6302)
|
| 35 | 3:10 PM | 3621 |
c(2.5% = 2837)
|
c(97.5% = 4071)
|
| 36 | 3:10 PM | 4563 |
c(2.5% = 3844)
|
c(97.5% = 5079)
|
| 37 | 3:10 PM | 1568 |
c(2.5% = 1233)
|
c(97.5% = 1870)
|
| 38 | 3:10 PM | 2743 |
c(2.5% = 2442)
|
c(97.5% = 3075)
|
| 39 | 3:10 PM | 5531 |
c(2.5% = 4725)
|
c(97.5% = 6061)
|
| 40 | 3:10 PM | 5665 |
c(2.5% = 4513)
|
c(97.5% = 6216)
|
| 41 | 3:10 PM | 2160 |
c(2.5% = 1568)
|
c(97.5% = 2547)
|
| 42 | 3:10 PM | 2759 |
c(2.5% = 1965)
|
c(97.5% = 3193)
|
| 43 | 3:10 PM | 2157 |
c(2.5% = 1591)
|
c(97.5% = 2535)
|
| 44 | 3:10 PM | 1769 |
c(2.5% = 1443)
|
c(97.5% = 2061)
|
| 45 | 3:10 PM | 2420 |
c(2.5% = 1796)
|
c(97.5% = 2805)
|
| 46 | 3:10 PM | 3476 |
c(2.5% = 3053)
|
c(97.5% = 3991)
|
| 47 | 3:10 PM | 1076 |
c(2.5% = 892)
|
c(97.5% = 1197)
|
| 48 | 3:10 PM | 2511 |
c(2.5% = 2030)
|
c(97.5% = 2771)
|
| 49 | 3:10 PM | 3220 |
c(2.5% = 2689)
|
c(97.5% = 3655)
|
| 50 | 3:10 PM | 4603 |
c(2.5% = 3737)
|
c(97.5% = 5418)
|
| 51 | 3:10 PM | 2880 |
c(2.5% = 2382)
|
c(97.5% = 3351)
|
| 52 | 3:10 PM | 3598 |
c(2.5% = 2975)
|
c(97.5% = 4199)
|
| 53 | 3:10 PM | 2426 |
c(2.5% = 1821)
|
c(97.5% = 2764)
|
| 54 | 3:10 PM | 1705 |
c(2.5% = 1129)
|
c(97.5% = 2061)
|
| 55 | 3:10 PM | 2782 |
c(2.5% = 1977)
|
c(97.5% = 3358)
|
| 56 | 3:10 PM | 4094 |
c(2.5% = 3070)
|
c(97.5% = 4785)
|
| 57 | 3:10 PM | 3593 |
c(2.5% = 2760)
|
c(97.5% = 4036)
|
| 58 | 3:10 PM | 5951 |
c(2.5% = 4573)
|
c(97.5% = 6778)
|
| 59 | 3:10 PM | 3127 |
c(2.5% = 2588)
|
c(97.5% = 3578)
|
| 60 | 3:10 PM | 2480 |
c(2.5% = 2059)
|
c(97.5% = 2854)
|
| 61 | 3:10 PM | 3758 |
c(2.5% = 3055)
|
c(97.5% = 4157)
|
| 62 | 3:10 PM | 2584 |
c(2.5% = 1813)
|
c(97.5% = 3022)
|
| 63 | 3:10 PM | 3444 |
c(2.5% = 2858)
|
c(97.5% = 3918)
|
| 64 | 3:10 PM | 1931 |
c(2.5% = 1431)
|
c(97.5% = 2272)
|
| 65 | 3:10 PM | 2862 |
c(2.5% = 2278)
|
c(97.5% = 3237)
|
| 66 | 3:10 PM | 5975 |
c(2.5% = 4807)
|
c(97.5% = 6665)
|
Raw Submissions
| Time of Vote | Precinct | Voter Number |
| 7:10 AM | 5107 | 2 |
| 7:41 AM | 0537 | 24 |
| 7:42 AM | 0501 | 14 |
| 7:43 AM | 0828 | 33 |
| 7:03 AM | 2714 | 2 |
| 7:40 AM | 1508 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:25 AM | 0214 | 16 |
| 7:56 AM | 3636 | 33 |
| 7:13 AM | 0218 | 9 |
| 8:07 AM | 4603 | 27 |
| 8:16 AM | 0218 | 60 |
| 8:18 AM | 0222 | 68 |
| 8:10 AM | 1810 | 36 |
| 8:20 AM | 3635 | 57 |
| 8:30 AM | 3110 | 55 |
| 8:32 AM | 0532 | 69 |
| 8:30 AM | 2707 | 45 |
| 8:32 AM | 2702 | 48 |
| 8:15 AM | 3901 | 52 |
| 8:15 AM | 3640 | 64 |
| 8:38 AM | 3638 | 55 |
| 8:38 AM | 3637 | 31 |
| 8:42 AM | 0525 | 64 |
| 8:40 AM | 0501 | 36 |
| 7:30 AM | 0202 | 28 |
| 8:40 AM | 0537 | 56 |
| 8:12 AM | 4616 | 41 |
| 8:35 AM | 3909 | 65 |
| 8:43 AM | 0517 | 69 |
| 8:49 AM | 0834 | 73 |
| 8:49 AM | 0206 | 69 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 8:07 AM | 0801 | 40 |
| 7:30 AM | 3640 | 31 |
| 7:30 AM | 3104 | 29 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 8:45 AM | 2101 | 47 |
| 8:25 AM | 3945 | 52 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 9:02 AM | 1503 | 92 |
| 7:15 AM | 0902 | 12 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 7:01 AM | 0807 | 13 |
| 9:09 AM | 4701 | 73 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 9:10 AM | 1514 | 81 |
| 7:55 AM | 1517 | 30 |
| 9:00 AM | 3914 | 40 |
| 8:00 AM | 5702 | 60 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 9:15 AM | 2714 | 51 |
| 8:15 AM | 2605 | 56 |
| 9:20 AM | 3637 | 100 |
| 9:20 AM | 3638 | 79 |
| 8:30 AM | 0521 | 92 |
| 9:20 AM | 0532 | 112 |
| 9:15 AM | 1802 | 73 |
| 9:24 AM | 2911 | 62 |
| 9:03 AM | 0229 | 95 |
| 9:23 AM | 0812 | 138 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 9:00 AM | 3107 | 100 |
| 9:15 AM | 3639 | 86 |
| 9:15 AM | 0120 | 76 |
| 9:30 AM | 0308 | 109 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 9:25 AM | 3610 | 84 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:35 AM | 0817 | 107 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 8:00 AM | 0106 | 69 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 9:38 AM | 6008 | 49 |
| 9:30 AM | 3636 | 108 |
| 7:15 AM | 0114 | 9 |
| 9:46 AM | 3111 | 104 |
| 9:47 AM | 0204 | 72 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 9:55 AM | 0528 | 148 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 110 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 109 |
| 7:45 AM | 0517 | 35 |
| 9:58 AM | 3636 | 120 |
| 9:49 AM | 2212 | 74 |
| 8:00 AM | 0817 | 100 |
| 10:05 AM | 1503 | 129 |
| 10:02 AM | 0517 | 135 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:20 AM | 2217 | 17 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:40 AM | 2105 | 45 |
| 10:00 AM | 0110 | 97 |
| 9:40 AM | 0222 | 97 |
| 10:00 AM | 2622 | 82 |
| 10:03 AM | 3006 | 101 |
| 8:15 AM | 2619 | 77 |
| 10:02 AM | 0835 | 100 |
| 10:18 AM | 3104 | 156 |
| 10:20 AM | 4701 | 114 |
| 7:45 AM | 0516 | 41 |
| 10:18 AM | 0515 | 420 |
| 8:28 AM | 0516 | 70 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 10:15 AM | 3641 | 78 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 10:29 AM | 0509 | 188 |
| 10:30 AM | 1513 | 95 |
| 8:00 AM | 2113 | 13 |
| 10:39 AM | 0537 | 108 |
| 10:40 AM | 0501 | 75 |
| 10:15 AM | 3115 | 144 |
| 10:10 AM | 4603 | 60 |
| 9:45 AM | 1517 | 101 |
| 10:40 AM | 0206 | 115 |
| 10:42 AM | 0505 | 117 |
| 10:44 AM | 0834 | 93 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 10:45 AM | 0807 | 115 |
| 10:45 AM | 1503 | 147 |
| 10:45 AM | 0309 | 129 |
| 10:40 AM | 3629 | 76 |
| 10:52 AM | 1717 | 90 |
| 10:52 AM | 1717 | 90 |
| 7:30 AM | 1802 | 38 |
| 10:50 AM | 2706 | 156 |
| 10:45 AM | 2713 | 96 |
| 10:02 AM | 4622 | 131 |
| 11:00 AM | 2707 | 86 |
| 11:10 AM | 3113 | 101 |
| 8:30 AM | 0201 | 103 |
| 8:40 AM | 0824 | 57 |
| 11:07 AM | 6008 | 67 |
| 8:00 AM | 4601 | 37 |
| 11:00 AM | 2208 | 91 |
| 9:00 AM | 0822 | 1 |
| 11:00 AM | 2101 | 131 |
| 10:00 AM | 0101 | 79 |
| 10:00 AM | 0102 | 90 |
| 10:00 AM | 0103 | 136 |
| 10:00 AM | 0104 | 92 |
| 10:00 AM | 0105 | 45 |
| 10:00 AM | 0106 | 93 |
| 10:00 AM | 0107 | 40 |
| 10:00 AM | 0108 | 89 |
| 10:00 AM | 0109 | 83 |
| 10:00 AM | 0110 | 104 |
| 10:00 AM | 0111 | 86 |
| 10:00 AM | 0112 | 69 |
| 10:00 AM | 0113 | 122 |
| 10:00 AM | 0114 | 85 |
| 10:00 AM | 0115 | 139 |
| 10:00 AM | 0116 | 68 |
| 10:00 AM | 0117 | 79 |
| 10:00 AM | 0118 | 121 |
| 10:00 AM | 0119 | 75 |
| 10:00 AM | 0120 | 106 |
| 10:00 AM | 0121 | 130 |
| 11:17 AM | 3943 | 119 |
| 11:00 AM | 1811 | 150 |
| 11:18 AM | 4701 | 135 |
| 11:00 AM | 3103 | 5 |
| 11:15 AM | 0526 | 175 |
| 11:00 AM | 5904 | 142 |
| 8:30 AM | 0504 | 105 |
| 11:22 AM | 1503 | 156 |
| 9:02 AM | 0120 | 63 |
| 8:10 AM | 0819 | 60 |
| 11:29 AM | 0213 | 47 |
| 9:15 AM | 0904 | 69 |
| 11:30 AM | 3914 | 140 |
| 11:30 AM | 4920 | 110 |
| 10:00 AM | 3945 | 156 |
| 11:00 AM | 0102 | 111 |
| 11:00 AM | 0108 | 105 |
| 11:00 AM | 0109 | 89 |
| 11:00 AM | 0107 | 54 |
| 11:30 AM | 0833 | 124 |
| 11:00 AM | 0104 | 120 |
| 7:50 AM | 4622 | 31 |
| 11:00 AM | 0105 | 47 |
| 11:30 AM | 1810 | 140 |
| 11:39 AM | 0834 | 106 |
| 11:32 AM | 0116 | 99 |
| 11:43 AM | 0537 | 122 |
| 11:43 AM | 0501 | 99 |
| 11:45 AM | 2702 | 88 |
| 11:40 AM | 4808 | 118 |
| 11:53 AM | 0528 | 194 |
| 11:45 AM | 1815 | 121 |
| 11:45 AM | 1816 | 192 |
| 11:45 AM | 1817 | 193 |
| 11:45 AM | 0217 | 111 |
| 11:50 AM | 3610 | 112 |
| 11:50 AM | 0217 | 112 |
| 12:00 PM | 3637 | 153 |
| 12:00 PM | 3638 | 118 |
| 9:40 AM | 0218 | 88 |
| 12:05 PM | 0110 | 127 |
| 9:20 AM | 0803 | 123 |
| 9:22 AM | 0803 | 125 |
| 11:00 AM | 0209 | 104 |
| 7:22 AM | 0506 | 9 |
| 12:01 PM | 0101 | 96 |
| 12:01 PM | 0103 | 164 |
| 12:00 PM | 2125 | 127 |
| 12:01 PM | 0107 | 69 |
| 12:01 PM | 0110 | 127 |
| 12:01 PM | 0114 | 128 |
| 12:01 PM | 0115 | 191 |
| 12:01 PM | 0117 | 175 |
| 12:01 PM | 0119 | 166 |
| 12:15 PM | 1503 | 175 |
| 12:01 PM | 0121 | 160 |
| 10:00 AM | 2702 | 65 |
| 12:15 PM | 4903 | 216 |
| 7:01 AM | 1511 | 17 |
| 12:02 PM | 0526 | 182 |
| 12:29 PM | 3103 | 175 |
| 12:29 PM | 3113 | 151 |
| 10:47 AM | 1507 | 1 |
| 12:38 PM | 1716 | 80 |
| 11:00 AM | 6522 | 121 |
| 12:38 PM | 0528 | 208 |
| 12:38 PM | 0528 | 208 |
| 11:00 AM | 0120 | 127 |
| 12:23 PM | 6008 | 80 |
| 7:40 AM | 6509 | 22 |
| 8:00 AM | 4618 | 32 |
| 12:50 PM | 0525 | 121 |
| 12:02 PM | 0831 | 123 |
| 12:30 PM | 3007 | 161 |
| 12:30 PM | 5217 | 120 |
| 12:55 PM | 4002 | 146 |
| 7:25 AM | 0532 | 35 |
| 12:40 PM | 0529 | 58 |
| 1:04 PM | 1902 | 128 |
| 1:05 PM | 1903 | 72 |
| 1:05 PM | 1904 | 81 |
| 1:02 PM | 2702 | 100 |
| 1:12 PM | 0834 | 113 |
| 8:20 AM | 0810 | 66 |
| 12:29 PM | 3113 | 151 |
| 1:00 PM | 3609 | 112 |
| 7:01 AM | 2122 | 20 |
| 1:20 PM | 1514 | 117 |
| 1:25 PM | 3006 | 141 |
| 1:30 PM | 3914 | 175 |
| 1:29 PM | 4320 | 120 |
| 1:30 PM | 0517 | 194 |
| 11:10 AM | 3105 | 1 |
| 1:30 PM | 2701 | 119 |
| 7:45 AM | 4616 | 34 |
| 9:15 AM | 4125 | 74 |
| 1:43 PM | 1717 | 115 |
| 1:43 PM | 0537 | 130 |
| 1:45 PM | 0817 | 166 |
| 8:30 AM | 2605 | 76 |
| 1:43 PM | 0501 | 133 |
| 1:45 PM | 0818 | 88 |
| 1:43 PM | 1717 | 115 |
| 10:40 AM | 1510 | 121 |
| 1:45 PM | 1810 | 188 |
| 1:48 PM | 3943 | 160 |
| 1:51 PM | 3637 | 170 |
| 1:52 PM | 3638 | 137 |
| 1:45 PM | 1817 | 238 |
| 2:00 PM | 3103 | 194 |
| 9:00 AM | 2719 | 1 |
| 2:05 PM | 4701 | 166 |
| 1:45 PM | 2911 | 109 |
| 8:00 AM | 0510 | 63 |
| 10:30 AM | 3942 | 90 |
| 8:00 AM | 4616 | 49 |
| 2:25 PM | 6414 | 114 |
| 2:27 PM | 0834 | 124 |
| 2:28 PM | 1810 | 216 |
| 2:28 PM | 1503 | 202 |
| 2:30 PM | 1802 | 139 |
| 2:30 PM | 2706 | 220 |
| 2:30 PM | 1801 | 204 |
| 11:00 AM | 0914 | 46 |
| 2:36 PM | 1514 | 125 |
| 2:15 PM | 3909 | 158 |
| 2:37 PM | 4616 | 153 |
| 1:50 PM | 3002 | 131 |
| 7:05 AM | 2622 | 6 |
| 2:47 PM | 2133 | 268 |
| 8:02 AM | 0815 | 48 |
| 11:45 AM | 1817 | 193 |
| 12:35 PM | 3634 | 92 |
| 7:40 AM | 3602 | 16 |
| 2:59 PM | 0532 | 215 |
| 2:59 PM | 0517 | 210 |
| 9:30 AM | 1508 | 100 |
| 2:00 PM | 0813 | 128 |
| 3:10 PM | 0537 | 135 |
Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions